Preseason Rankings
Western Carolina
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#307
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.0#100
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#320
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#266
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.0
.500 or above 7.7% 21.1% 6.2%
.500 or above in Conference 22.3% 36.8% 20.6%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.7% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 20.7% 9.6% 22.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Away) - 10.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.80.0 - 1.8
Quad 1b0.1 - 2.60.1 - 4.4
Quad 20.6 - 5.00.7 - 9.4
Quad 31.9 - 6.62.6 - 16.0
Quad 46.0 - 5.48.6 - 21.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 138   @ Wright St. L 64-75 10%    
  Nov 10, 2018 112   College of Charleston L 62-74 21%    
  Nov 14, 2018 56   @ SMU L 59-76 3%    
  Nov 20, 2018 146   Jacksonville St. L 63-73 20%    
  Nov 21, 2018 163   Southern Miss L 66-74 22%    
  Nov 24, 2018 289   Jacksonville L 72-73 56%    
  Nov 27, 2018 115   @ Wake Forest L 68-80 10%    
  Dec 01, 2018 123   @ Furman L 67-78 10%    
  Dec 05, 2018 38   @ North Carolina St. L 69-88 3%    
  Dec 08, 2018 294   @ UNC Asheville L 71-72 37%    
  Dec 15, 2018 255   @ High Point L 67-70 30%    
  Dec 18, 2018 34   @ Iowa L 69-88 3%    
  Dec 21, 2018 205   @ Bowling Green L 71-77 23%    
  Dec 29, 2018 97   Wofford L 65-78 21%    
  Jan 03, 2019 314   Chattanooga W 68-67 62%    
  Jan 05, 2019 322   Samford W 78-76 66%    
  Jan 10, 2019 272   @ Mercer L 67-69 33%    
  Jan 12, 2019 265   @ The Citadel L 84-86 33%    
  Jan 17, 2019 86   UNC Greensboro L 60-74 18%    
  Jan 19, 2019 310   @ VMI W 71-70 41%    
  Jan 26, 2019 153   East Tennessee St. L 64-73 31%    
  Jan 31, 2019 314   @ Chattanooga W 68-67 43%    
  Feb 02, 2019 322   @ Samford W 78-76 46%    
  Feb 07, 2019 123   Furman L 67-78 24%    
  Feb 09, 2019 97   @ Wofford L 65-78 10%    
  Feb 14, 2019 272   Mercer L 67-69 52%    
  Feb 16, 2019 265   The Citadel L 84-86 51%    
  Feb 21, 2019 86   @ UNC Greensboro L 60-74 8%    
  Feb 23, 2019 310   VMI W 71-70 61%    
  Mar 02, 2019 153   @ East Tennessee St. L 64-73 16%    
Projected Record 8.6 - 21.4 6.2 - 11.8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.4 2.1 0.6 0.1 7.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.0 4.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 5.0 4.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 14.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.9 6.4 5.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 16.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.5 4.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 16.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.8 5.7 3.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 16.0 9th
10th 0.8 2.6 4.3 3.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 13.0 10th
Total 0.8 2.7 5.7 8.9 11.2 13.0 13.6 12.1 9.8 8.5 5.7 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 99.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 52.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 35.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 92.9% 92.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 17.7% 17.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 11.5% 11.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 12.0% 12.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.0% 5.2% 5.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-6 2.0% 4.5% 4.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
11-7 4.0% 1.9% 1.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
10-8 5.7% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.6
9-9 8.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.4
8-10 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.8
7-11 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-12 13.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.6
5-13 13.0% 13.0
4-14 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
3-15 8.9% 8.9
2-16 5.7% 5.7
1-17 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.7
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%